Monthly Archives: January 2012

The Separation of Skate and State

  By Chris Speziale | 01/25/2012 - 4:22 pm | Musings
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Perhaps Tim Thomas could use his Conn Smythe as a soap box?

Maybe it’s because we’re in an election year.  Maybe it’s because our President just gave the State of the Union address. Heck, maybe it’s just because I feel connected to what’s going on in the world around me.  For whatever reason, Tim Thomas refusing to visit the White House really struck a chord with me.

Now, it’s no secret where my political affiliations lie, I’m a proud Democrat, who believes in a liberal social and fiscal agenda.  And while I support the left, it’s become evident that the Bruins Vezina Trophy winning goalie clearly has a right leaning mentality.  I don’t want to hear that the statement he made to excuse himself from the visit was bipartisan or centrist.  I don’t want to hear that he was speaking out against government as a whole.  Dig a little deeper and you’ll learn that this is a man who rallies around the fear-mongering of conservative talking heads like Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh.  Tim Thomas chose not to visit the White House because he doesn’t agree with the administration, and I think he made a mistake.

I had to stop for a second when I first read the story.  I was shocked by it, and I just couldn’t find a good justification.  I put myself in this hypothetical situation:  I’m a star athlete (wouldn’t that be nice) and my team is scheduled to make a trip to the Oval Office in the year following a championship run.  Let’s say that we’re in the middle of the previous Republican administration.  I can’t imagine a scenario where I’m not standing on that stage with the rest of my teammates shaking hands with President George W. Bush; a man with whom I vehemently disagreed on almost every issue.  You don’t have to agree with what he’s done with his time in office, you don’t have to agree with his policies or beliefs, all you have to do it stand there and smile.  And you know, I might even take that opportunity to have a conversation with the man (or woman) making the big decisions.  You just don’t get invited to the White House all that often.

But it goes beyond even turning down an invitation.  We live in a world where news and information are instantly available, and it’s incredibly easy to connect to people in even the remotest of locations.  Because of this far reach, we’re noticing more and more athletes/actors/celebrities taking to the soap box, and spewing their beliefs and ideologies all over the place.  I just can’t seem to set aside my belief that the sporting world isn’t the right place for this.  Turning to an athlete for political advice would be like turning to a politician to take the last penalty shot in an overtime shootout.  It’s something you just don’t do.  Can we take this for what it’s worth?  I say no.  One guy taking a stand to protect what he believes in is one thing, and yes, everyone (Tim Thomas included) has a right to free speech, but just because you have the right, doesn’t make it right.  What TT did on Monday was childish.  He put himself ahead of his team, and turned what was supposed to be a highlight for the city of Boston, and the Bruins organization, into a media circus.

As an athlete, your talent and physical skill get you millions of dollars, the admiration of thousands of fans, and a platform to spread whatever message you choose.  We listen to you, we idolize you, and we cast you as the role model, so you need to be careful with what you say and how your present yourself to the public.  If upon your retirement, you want lobby for a Republican agenda or start your own bigoted talk radio show, then by all means, go right ahead.  But now? Now, your job is not to campaign for the next Republican nominee, it’s to stop that little, black, rubber disk from making its way into the back of the net.  Maybe I’m naïve, or maybe I have a hard time coming to grips with the fact that some of the athletes I root for don’t share my beliefs.  But had Thomas just put politics aside, supported his teammates, and been gracious in receiving an honor from the President of the United States, we wouldn’t be in this mess in the first place.

The Road to Indy: Five Keys to the NFC Championship

  By Chris Speziale | 01/17/2012 - 5:04 pm | Musings
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Vernon Davis is important, but stopping him doesn't make the list of keys to the game

Yesterday, we ran through some important keys to the AFC Championship Game between the Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots, and today we’ll attempt to break down the NFC title bout between the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers. Here are five keys to a Giant victory in this Sunday’s NFC Championship game.

Jekyll and Hyde – If I had to pick a single key to this game, it would be this: which Giants running attack shows up on Sunday in San Fran?  The Giants ranked dead last in the NFL in rushing during the regular season, but in the last four games they’re averaging 122 yards, which is almost 45 yards per game higher than their regular season mark. That said, it’ll be an exceptionally difficult task for Bradshaw and Jacobs this weekend as they go up against the most stout run defense in the league.  San Fran allows 77 yards per game on the ground, and last week held New Orleans, who had come into the contest with the sixth ranked run game, to 37 yards out of the backfield.

Pass Rush – It’s rare to find two teams with a similar defensive strength facing each other this late in the season, but both New York and San Francisco have made their money rushing the passer, and both will need to keep up the pace in order to stay ahead on Sunday.  The Giants rank third in sacks, while the 49ers are seventh.  It may be more important for the Niners get to Eli than vice versa.  New York will most likely have to rely on the passing game to get ahead of a San Francisco team that will focus on slowing down Bradshaw and Jacobs out of the backfield.  The more dropbacks for Eli, the more opportunity for an effective San Francisco pass rush to turn the tide.  New York allows a full sack less per game in wins than in losses, so keep Eli upright.

Lost Puppy Face – Take keys one and two…and you get key number three.  If Giant fans end up getting a whole bunch of Eli Manning close-ups with that lost puppy look, they’re in big trouble.  As we’ve already pointed out, the 49ers will attempt to force Eli Manning to throw the ball by controlling the run game.  And lets not forget that this is a quarterback who is less than a season removed from a 25 interception campaign.  Often times his decision making is called into question, and if the San Francisco pass rush can flush Eli from the pocket or force him into throwing the ball before he’s ready, he is prone to turning it over.  In the seven Giant losses this year, Eli owns an 82.3 QB rating and has thrown 12 of his 16 interceptions.  Keeping the ball out of the hands of the San Fran defensive backs will be paramount to a Giant victory.

Wideouts – One of the ways that New York can limit the Eli turnovers will be the play of their wideouts.  Both Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz have been outstanding for the Giants this year, and with the return of Mario Manningham from injury, New York has one of the strongest receiving corps in the league.  Nicks and Cruz are more than capable of making big plays and really controlling a defensive backfield.  Jets fans will surely remember the 99 yard touchdown catch that Cruz made in the second quarter of their Christmas Eve clash.  The grab gave the G-Men a lead they would never relinquish, and the Jets would ultimately miss the playoffs.  Keeping that in mind, it’s also important to note that the Giants #1 and #2 receivers have been guilty of dropping a number of passes this season.  The two have combined for 14 dropped balls, which is a higher number than it might appear.  They both rank in the top ten in that category in the league.

Flagged – Lastly, the 49ers have struggled with penalties this year, and while the home crowd should help keep the mental mistakes to a minimum, the Giants will need to exploit this advantage if they want to make their second trip to the Super Bowl in the last five seasons.  San Fran has committed 113 penalties this season equaling 1014 yards, which is sixth worst in the NFL.  Conversely, the Giants have forced their opponents into 110 penalties on the season which is ninth best in the league.

If the Giants can hit on all five of these keys to victory, it’s ALMOST a sure bet that they’ll be headed to Indy to take on either the Ravens or the Patriots on February 5th.  I do think that these two squads are evenly matched and very balanced.  It’ll be a game that comes down to the wire, and will most likely be low scoring.  In the end, I feel that home field and a possible rain storm moving through the area swing this one to the Niners, who’ll be heading to the Super Bowl looking for their sixth Lombardi Trophy.  Final: 26-19, San Fran

The Road to Indy: Five Keys to the AFC Championship

  By Chris Speziale | 01/16/2012 - 6:30 pm | Musings
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Tom Brady and the Pats are 6-1 against Joe Flacco and the Ravens

We’ve got a whole week to breakdown the matchup between the Patriots and the Ravens, but while the rest of the ESPN family of networks break down what happened in the divisional round, why don’t we jump ahead a bit, shall we? Here are five keys to a Patriot victory on Sunday, when they host Baltimore.

Protect the Ball – I know what you’re thinking.  “Really? He’s gonna start with protecting the ball? Freakin duh!”  I get it, but I don’t think you really grasp how important this will be this weekend.  The Ravens are first in the NFL in forced fumbles this season, and while New England has done a particularly good job of not putting it on the turf, that Ray Lewis led D will be in full ball hawk mode.  The Pats are first in the AFC in turnover differential, and they’ll need to win the turnover battle this weekend if they hope to knock the Ravens out of this thing.  That starts with holding on to the football.

Protect the QB – Noticing a theme here? Clearly what I’m trying to tell you is that the Ravens defense is pretty darn good.  Not only are they 1st in the NFL in forced fumbles, but they’re also first in the AFC in sacks, they hold the QB to the lowest rating in the league, and have allowed only 11 passing touchdowns this season, which, as you may have guessed is also best in the league.  Those rankings are scary if you’re a Patriot fan, but fear not! The Pats offensive line is getting healthy at just the right time, and consists of three pro-bowlers, as well as a rookie who’s played well beyond expectations this season.  They held the Broncos sackless in the massacre on Saturday night, and they’ve only allowed 11 sacks over their last five games.

Contain Ray Rice – You can’t stop him, you can only HOPE to contain him. Ray Rice leads the league in yards from scrimmage, and is fourth in total touchdowns with 15 rushing and receiving scores this season.  I don’t think there’s even a slim chance that the Pats neutralize this guy, but they must hope that the can at least keep him from having a monster game.  In the four Baltimore losses, Rice was able to get up over 100 total yards only once in a 34-14 loss to San Diego in week 14.  Additionally, the fourth year back carried the ball 13 times or less in five contests this year.  Four of those five were in losing efforts, and the fifth was in a 37-7 blowout where he saw his playing time cut down.  New England must get a lead early to force the Ravens into passing situations and keep Rice from getting his carries.

Return that Kick – Neither team will score on every possession in this game, so the kicking game will be important for both sides.  The Ravens special teams unit allows 12 yards per return on punts, and New England will need every one of those yards.  If the Pats offense gets held down, and they will occasionally, they’ll need to at least push the ball up close to midfield in order to get the Ravens pinned close to their own goal line.  The Ravens have really struggled to sustain long touchdown drives this season, managing a measly eight of more than 80 yards, only one of which came after week 9.  Field goals simply will not be enough to take down Brady and the Pats, so if New England pins them deep they’ll have a good shot.  Proof is in the pudding.

Feed the Beast – New England is 14-3 on the season, and they largely got that record using their large body.  Rob Gronkowski has been a match-up nightmare for every team in the league so far, and there’s no reason to think that that will be any different this weekend.  With no running game or deep threat, many in the sports media world discounted New Endgland’s convention defying offense.  But they persist, and it is this sportscasters opinion that they should hold true.  Why mess with a good thing? Gronk has 17 touchdowns and is averaging a ridiculous 14.7 yards per catch.  Get him the ball as often as you can, and you’ve got a great chance of winning.

Ultimately, I think the Patriots will be able to score 30, and even with a weak Patriot defense, I can’t imagine that Joe Flacco will be able to muster up enough offense to take down New England.  It’s going to be an ugly, physical, bloody battle, but it’s gonna be so much fun to watch.  Ray Lewis vs. Tom Brady for a chance to go to the Super Bowl? Sign me up.  Final: 31-23 New England

Defending Offense

  By Chris Speziale | 01/04/2012 - 2:11 pm | Musings
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These three guys lead the leagues best offenses. Will the O be enough to get them to Indy for Superbowl XLVI?

I’ve been hearing a lot about the Patriots lack of defensive prowess, and the hindrance that that might become down the line in the NFL playoffs, which start this weekend.  The Pats are ranked 31st in total defense, and have allowed a whopping 293 yards per game through the air to opposing offenses.  But what’s getting lost in all of this is that they’ve got the most potent offensive attack in the AFC, and they lead the conference in both point differential and turnover margin.

When the Saints made that improbable run to win the Superbowl in ’09, guess where they ranked in those two categories: first in differential and third turnover margin.  They had a top three offense, a middle of the road defense, and the number one seed in a highly competitive NFC Playoff that featured four future Hall of Fame QB’s; Favre, Rodgers, Warner and Brees.  The major difference between the ’09 Saints and the ’11 Pats? New England has, arguably, an easier road to the Superbowl!

New England won eight in a row down the stretch to ensure that as long as they were playing, they’d be playing at home, where they’ve lost only three times since 2008.  And while I’m not one to make guarantees, I’m going out on a limb and calling it now: New England will take on either the Steelers or Ravens to get to the Superbowl this year, and neither of those teams scare me. Pittsburgh is banged up at some key positions and may have already gone through two tough road games before getting to Gillette. Baltimore has struggled with offensive identity this season, and while their defense is still one of the best in the game, the team is 1-6 against New England all time.  Granted, that one win came on the road in the playoffs two years ago.

But let’s step away from the AFC for a second.  As the NFL season progressed and the Packers rattled off win after win after win in the NFC, they were pretty much crowned as the most likely repeat champs since the 2004 Pats.  But here’s the wild thing…they’re D is worse than New England’s.  So while all of the acclaim and hype was following the cheeseheads around during the regular season, opposing offenses continued to slowly figure out how to score on these guys which finally led to an abysmal week 17 performance against the Lions where they allowed 575 yards of total offense and 41 points. They rank dead last in yards allowed and passing yards allowed, while hanging around the middle third of the league in rush yards and points against. Their pass rush is suspect, they have some holes in the secondary, and the health of a couple of key defensive starters is in question heading into postseason play.

So if it’s so much of a slam dunk that the Pack will be representing the NFC with all those holes, why aren’t the Pats getting the same kind of love? The two teams almost seem like mirror images in different conferences.  And if it happens the way I think it will, the Pack and the Pats will meet in a rematch of Superbowl XXXI, and we’ll have one of the highest scoring title games in the history of the big game.  The record currently stands at 75 combined points, and we may beat that by the third quarter.

The modern cliché is that defense wins championships, and as it stands, never in the history of the league have the two worst regular season defenses played each other in the Superbowl.  But this is the year of the offense, and with McCarthy and Rodgers in the NFC, and Belichick and Brady in the AFC, how can you not root for it?